I was wondering about cross correlation between the variables. I suspect that far more long time control games feature lower rated opponents. I'm not aware of many titled players that play a significant amount of long time control games on lichess, for example. The ratings alone might explain why the gambit seems to perform so much better at long time controls.
Absolutely, great point. This is one reason why I think it's worthwhile to build the tools to do this kind of analysis more systematically. Clicking around in a UI is okay for a quick eyeball test, but you'd like to have more power to slice the data in more nuanced ways.
I was wondering about cross correlation between the variables. I suspect that far more long time control games feature lower rated opponents. I'm not aware of many titled players that play a significant amount of long time control games on lichess, for example. The ratings alone might explain why the gambit seems to perform so much better at long time controls.
Absolutely, great point. This is one reason why I think it's worthwhile to build the tools to do this kind of analysis more systematically. Clicking around in a UI is okay for a quick eyeball test, but you'd like to have more power to slice the data in more nuanced ways.